Links in a great chain

As someone with high hopes for Nicholas Fuentes, this discussion does not disappoint. Richard Spencer, whose career I've followed for a decade now, is in top form.

Except for when he offers up this canard, that is:



This assertion was initially reported by the US Census in May of 2012 based on population estimates from 2011. Fortunately, the CDC releases actual birth data for the previous year based on all recorded births across the entire country each June. A month after the Census' sensational estimate, the actual figures came out and undercut the incorrect estimate. And that incorrect estimate has continued to be incorrect in each subsequent year.

The following table shows the actual percentage of total births in the US that were to non-Hispanic white mothers by year going back to 2011 (sources for 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016):

Year	White births
2011	54.4%
2012	54.0%
2013	54.1%
2014	53.9%
2015	53.5%
2016	52.1%

Some of these white women are of course giving birth to multiracial babies. For obvious reasons, tracking the mother's race is easier than tracking the father's. By a strictly one-drop rule, the percentage of births to whites is surely below 50%, probably well below it, since baby Elizabeth Warren and Nick Fuentes would be included in the non-white tally by this accounting. It would also dictate we describe the US on the order of 1% or 2% black, since the majority of blacks in America have some European ancestry.

Parenthetically, Spencer's example of Alabama is way off the mark. As of 2016, the latest year for which data is available, 60% of babies born in the state were non-Hispanic white (at the link are pie charts showing the racial distribution of births for all 50 states and the Imperial Capital).

The thrust of what Spencer says doesn't suffer a loss of relevance just because it's exaggerated, but precision is important. So is avoiding unnecessarily ingesting black pills. We're not licked yet.

A primary purpose of the alt right (or dissident right, or identitarian movement, or whatever the preferred phrase) is to change the culture. Celebrating procreation--our procreation--needs to be part of that change.

In his AmRen conference remarks last year and during his speech this year, Jared Taylor expressed regret for not having had more children, noting specifically that the reason for it is that he assumed he wouldn't like fatherhood and nobody ever told him how wonderful it would be--he ended up discovering it later in life.

I understand this rubs a lot of people the wrong way. Hell, it probably rubs most people the wrong way since most white people are below replacement!

It's an issue that gets me fired up not only because it's literally of existential importance but also because I held off, Idiocracy-style, through my twenties. I've never liked caring for pets. What were the chances I'd enjoy parenthood? With the benefit of hindsight, 100% as it turns out. I've now experienced a range of emotions I could not have experienced without having become a father. Unconditional love is reserved for our children, no one else.

Don't read this blog for emotional safeguarding, please. There is no point in fighting for an abstract idea of our posterity if we don't create any actual posterity to fight for.

We talk about the need for self-improvement. To get off the couch and into the gym. To stop drinking from the pop culture sewer and start distilling a salubrious culture of our own. To stop being supine and start standing up for ourselves. The shame we feel when we pass on the potential to grow the tribe is the same sort of shame we come up short on these other endeavors. Pressure to power. Stress to strength. Remember, others have done more with less.

This isn't a blanket call for MOAR WHITE BABIES (though that'd be fine with me). I know my audience. All human behavioral traits are heritable. The personality characteristics that make you a race realist grateful for your ancestors and guided by a concern for your descendents are personality characteristics your children will tend to share. If we don't do it (heh), we'll be relying on the Mennonites and the Mormons to win the future for us.

Concluding thoughts on the Hater's Ball

Before returning to form by hewing to the data, permit me a few thoughts to wrap up reactions to the AmRen conference.

Z-Man astutely noted there were a fair number of women in attendance, on the order of 10%. That's a good sign. It indicates a move towards social normalization. So does the genuinely friendly reactions and responses our side seemingly uniformly received from law enforcement agents tasked with protecting the event.

The generational divide is another indication that identitarianism will become more socially acceptable in the US in the future. The young guys, especially the numerous Identity Evuropa contingent were affable, enthusiastic, and inquisitive. These were the merry warriors who waged the meme wars of 2015 and 2016. Now they're moving out of the virtual world and into the real one, one that is their oyster.

Parenthetically, I met the people behind hategraphs on twatter and garth volbeck on Gab, both of whom fit this general description very well. Think Paul Kersey, who reminds suburbanites like yours truly as the most popular kid on the block growing up.

In stark contrast, the older attendees were dour and abrasive. For many of them, the event is a despair porn climax. That's not meant to disparage--we are here because they were there long before, and some of this disparity is a consequence of youthful exuberance contrasting with grizzled realism. 

From a commenter:

The Sailer strat of pidgeonholing the Democrats into the party of black grievance and third world immigration is the last chance for USG to come back to regular historical nationhood by the stairs instead of the window.

Seems to me there are three broad potential strategic approaches to take with regards to politics and demographics:

- Old America (legacy whites and blacks) vs New America (Hispanics, Asians, and other recent settlers) -- This is the civic nationalist approach long advocated by Steve Sailer (a position he may have since become less hopeful for, having pivoted somewhat since then towards painting the Democrats as the Black Party). Civic nationalism manifested politically in the form of the Trump presidential effort. During the campaign (and through most of his presidency), Trump has made it a point to frame everything as Americans vs the world. Obama never did that.

One glaring problem with this is that most blacks, who've been in the US from the beginning, don't think of themselves as Americans.

- Ice People (whites, including Jews, and Asians) vs Sun People (blacks and browns) -- This is the meritocracy approach. It probably most closely approximates my own natural sentiments of the three. It is also probably the least workable in practice. For it to be viable, either political dissolution will have to occur or democracy will have to go.

- White identitarianism -- AmRen, Identity Evropa, secessionism, and most of what is considered Alt Right. Ourselves and our posterity.

Ultimately, the first two options work against the third. The third is the most 'extreme', but it may also be the only viable one. If so, then pursuing either of the first two--ie celebrating the Kanye development--is little more than a distraction that wastes precious time getting to the third approach.

How to split the difference to give civic nationalism a chance by putting the interests of current citizens far ahead of those of non-citizens? Three things:

1) A moratorium on immigration lasting at least one full generation
2) The repatriation of all non-citizens to their countries of origin
3) A restoration of native fertility to replacement (at minimum)

Black Pilled

Heartiste on Kanye West running off the plantation:

I predict a coming black sex gap, in which black men will vote less D while black women continue voting D with near-unanimity. The reason?

TRUMP.

Kanye has a huge following. Whether it presages a lasting shift in the sentiments of black men or is just a momentary blip, the initial movement is hard to ignore.

For the week ending April 22nd, Trump's Reuters-Ipsos polling approval (with "mixed feelings" discounted) among black men came in at 11.2%. Kanye's crush made headlines a couple of days later and by the end of the following week, April 29th, Trump's approval among black men had rocketed to 23.7%, the highest mark the 45th president has ever achieved among black men.

The corresponding figures for black women were 6.7% approval week ending April 22nd and 9.9% approval week ending April 29th, the latter of which falls four points short of Trump's high-water mark among black women.

The sample sizes are in the low hundreds so it could just be a noisy coincidence, but it would be quite a coincidence if that's the case. Results for the current week will be in next Monday. We'll be able to pronounce with more confidence then.

Paul Kersey:

That resonates well enough. But there are ramifications for whites from this, too. This line of apology for his new Trump love will be particularly effective against SWPLs:

Christian Lander didn't subtitle Stuff White People Like "the definitive guide to the unique taste of millions" just for kicks. Nothing is more important to them than their own idea of who they are. This could get fun fast.

Parenthetically, here we have another example of an observation I was first made aware of by Steve Sailer several years ago--the blackest blacks are the ones who tend to break rank. Curtis Jackson had nice things to say about the bumbling butcher. Herman Cain captured the hearts of cuckservatives for awhile. Diamond and Silk are darker than anyone in the Congressional Black Caucus. Steve Harvey doesn't have to prove his blackety blackety blackety black bona fides to anyone. John Legend vs Kanye West:

The Reuters-Ipsos presidential approval poll has been administered continuously since the beginning of 2018. It has accumulated a staggering sample size of 44,798 respondents. The following graph shows Trump's approval by selected demographic characteristics, again with "mixed feelings" responses excluded:

Hater's Ball Day 3

The political dissolution of the US is a question of when, not if. Ideally, the separation is an amicable one based on a mutual recognition of irreconcilable differences. Amicability may be a pipe dream, but a separation characterized by non-violence is not. Secession is an idea whose time has come. It is happening all over the world and it will happen here, too.

That confidence in the possibility of a bloodless separation was fortified by the weekend's experience. State security was out in force. As I headed to my car to leave the hotel at the state park today, I walked past a meeting of about 30 police being addressed by a commanding officer. He was praising the group for how smoothly the weekend had gone and how well they had comported themselves. Hearing it, I gave a "thanks for the great work this weekend!" as I past. In response came, so far as I could tell, appreciative acknowledgement from just about every one of them. 

These guys are sympathetic. If the Cloud People in the Imperial Capital are relying on the salt of the earth in flyover country to turn their guns on their fellow Dirt People, they're in for a rude awakening.  

Henry Wolf, Jared Taylor's right hand man, took some ingeniously unconventional measures to protect the privacy of the attendees. I obviously won't go into the specifics, but it's reassuring to see that level of competence in AmRen's administration. 

Another impressive operation is Identity Evropa. The group's methodical screening process, organizational structure, and tactical celerity makes it well placed for not just viability but continual growth in the future. For those interested in activism beyond the virtual world, they are the best game in town. 

Simon Roche of the Suidlanders viscerally communicated what is ultimately at stake for Europeans all over the world. The writing is on the wall. Why don't the Afrikaners get the hell out while they still can? Because at some point we have to stop running. Asked whether they would rather emigrate to Australia or pay the ultimate price defending the land their grandfather's grandfather's grandfather tamed, Roche emphatically answered with the latter. Blood and soil.

It's worth ruminating on that conviction. A life in which nothing is worth dying for is hardly a life worth living. No one lives forever. Achilles understood this. So should we.

I'm a family man and a homebody, but as I parted ways with Z-Man at the conference's closing, I was overcome with a sense of anticipation for the VDare event planned for this August. Spending a weekend conversing non-stop and without reservation about topics that matter with smart, thoughtful people is an intellectual experience unparalleled in The Current Year. It's a taste of what life could be like if we were able to hurl the stifling curse of political correctness into the abyss.

The Hater's Ball Day 2

The Derb is in good spirits. He seems to have just now discovered twitter despite having had an account for years. It's fun to watch.

As Z-Man noted, Richard Spencer is notably absent and a lot of (figurative) knives seem to be coming out for him. Just like the optimal approach to the JQ, I'm agnostic on Spencer's current status. A recurring theme that is hard to miss this year is that it's time to revisit the putative sagacity of the idea that dissidents should never punch to the right. When you're being stabbed in the back by the guy  on your right flank, sometimes the need to deliver a haymaker becomes unavoidable.

Speaking of the JQ, the results of the field study, at least up to this point, have been... inconclusive. There does exist a sizable contingent of Alt Jews out there, but they're skittish. On good information I've gathered their collective sense is that breaking ranks is as socially injurious to them as stepping off the leftist plantation is for blacks. Being an Uncle Isaac isn't easy.

Nicholas Fuentes delivered a masterful speech, and not just because he cited the Hispanic Heritage Survey's bottle of white pills. If our Occidental Renaissance is to occur, Gen Z is going to have to lead it. If we are fortunate, Fuentes will play a major part in that.

Fuentes was born in 1998. He's all of 20 years old. He left a strong impression of precocity today, especially the way he handled thinly-veiled mini homilies that were couched as questions during the question and answer session following his speech.

The boomers who tore into him spectacularly misread the situation on the ground. Jordan Peterson has one of the best-selling books in the world because he understands the challenges young men face. Fuentes does, too, and he has the added bonus of being part of that very cohort. People who are able to resonate with these young men are worth their weight in gold.

We need a Ron Paul of our own, someone who can do for identitarianism what the good doctor did for libertarianism. Fuentes has the capacity to be that person. It's indisputable after watching him today. I suspect he's smart enough to calibrate his presentation as time goes on. It's something he'll need to do. Making the transition from virtual personality to real world leader requires it.

In a moving presentation, Jared Taylor stated the obvious--we need to have more children. That alone is not sufficient, but it is necessary. He expressed regret at having only had two of his own, noting that while the transition from egalitarian to race realist was a transformative one, it paled in comparison to the transformation he experienced by becoming a father.

He also expressed regret in having not been told how wonderful it is to bring into the world people you love and people who love you. I could not agree more.